Happy Monday! We have a fun NFL matchup to close out Week 2 as the Rams host the Giants. I’m looking at three anytime touchdown bets built around a New York tight end with a featured role, plus two Rams tight ends who could benefit if Puka Nacua is unable to play or is limited.
Let’s get into my favorite touchdown picks for Monday night at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.
The Best Rams vs. Giants Touchdown Props for MNF
- Isaiah Likely +260 Anytime TD
- Terrance Ferguson +240 Anytime TD
- Colby Parkinson +250 Anytime TD
All referenced odds are subject to change.
MNF Touchdown Pick: Isaiah Likely (+260)
I’m looking at a tight end-heavy touchdown card for Monday, and we’ll start on the Giants’ side with Isaiah Likely.
Likely was a massive part of New York’s offense in Week 1. He found the end zone twice, and normally, I would be a little wary of chasing a two-touchdown game. But I cannot overlook the way the Giants used him.
Likely ran nearly 80% of his routes from the game in the opener. That is a really unique role for a tight end, and it gives him the ability to move around the formation and create mismatches against linebackers, safeties, and nickel corners.
Jaxson Dart has already shown he is comfortable targeting athletic tight ends. Theo Johnson remains in the offense, but Likely has quickly become a featured weapon, and the early usage suggests he will be a major part of the game plan moving forward.
The Malik Nabers situation also matters here. Nabers played just 52% of New York’s offensive snaps last week as he continued to ramp up. That number could rise Monday, but Likely should still benefit from favorable coverage looks if Nabers is not out there on every snap.
Likely also played on three of the Giants’ four snaps inside the 10-yard line in Week 1. That is the type of high-leverage usage we want when betting touchdown props.
At +260, I think Likely is a really nice number. He has already shown the ability to score, he is being deployed like a big game receiver, and he has a clear role near the goal line.
Monday TD Prediction: Terrance Ferguson (+240)
Now, we’ll head to the Rams’ side, where Nacua’s status could have a big impact on the entire offense.
Los Angeles is coming off an absolutely miserable game overseas, but the Rams return to California as roughly seven-point home favorites with extra time to prepare. Vegas still expects the Rams to score, even after a rough performance across the world.
The concern is Nacua. Reports over the weekend suggested he is trending in the wrong direction, and that is obviously something to monitor all day Monday. Even if he suits up, there is a real chance he is limited.
That could lead Sean McVay to adjust his personnel and lean more heavily on his tight ends.
Receiver Davante Adams is priced around -135 to score, which makes sense after he led the NFL in end-zone targets last season. But I have no interest in laying that kind of number in a touchdown market.
Terrance Ferguson is the more interesting play at +240.
Ferguson played just over half of Los Angeles’ snaps in Week 1, but his usage when the Rams got close was notable. He was on the field for four of the Rams’ six snaps inside the 10-yard line.
The second-year tight end is an athletic player, and McVay has been finding more ways to get him involved. We saw flashes from Ferguson last season, and a potentially limited Nacua could lead the Rams into more two-tight-end looks.
Ferguson closed out the 2025 regular season with a touchdown in each of his last two appearances on eight total catches during that stretch.
At +240, I am willing to take a shot on a guy with huge long-term upside, who could inherit a big role this evening.
MNF TD Prop: Colby Parkinson (+250)
Colby Parkinson is the other Rams tight end I want to consider, and his Week 1 playing time was impossible to ignore.
Parkinson played 75% of Los Angeles’ offensive snaps in the opener. That is a huge workload for a tight end, and it became even more important once the Rams moved into scoring territory.
He played all six of the Rams’ snaps inside the 10-yard line. Four of those snaps came inside the 5, and Parkinson was on the field for every single one.
That is not a guarantee that he gets the target, obviously. But those are the snaps where touchdowns happen, and Parkinson has a legitimate pathway to catching one if Los Angeles gets multiple red-zone possessions.
The Rams are favored, and they have had extra time to regroup after the overseas disaster. The Giants looked good in their opener, but Dallas also looked like a complete mess, so I am not sure how much we should take away from that result.
Nacua’s status is pivotal. If he is ruled out or limited, I expect McVay to make personnel adjustments and use more tight-end-heavy formations. Parkinson’s 75% snap share and goal-line deployment give him an attractive role in that kind of plan.
Even if Nacua plays a full complement of snaps, Parkinson’s bet isn’t dead. He played every meaningful goal-line snap in Week 1, and +250 is a strong number for a player with that type of usage.
Keep an eye on Nacua’s status through Monday, but I like the Rams’ tight ends to be heavily involved either way.
Good luck with all of your MNF touchdown bets! Play responsibly, especially with these longer-odds props — we are getting nice numbers for a reason.
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